Comments on: Seven-Year Itch: A Look at Starters in Their Age 32 to 38 Seasons

By: harsh

harsh — Thu, 16 Dec 2010 15:15:17 +0000

Thnaks for this useful information.

By: williamnyy23

williamnyy23 — Wed, 15 Dec 2010 04:58:04 +0000

There are so many variables involved that there really is no way to determine which age 32-38 pitcher will do well. However, it does appear as if the healthy ones provide significant value. So, if you determine that Lee is a good health risk, it stands to reason he’ll be a good performance risk. The limitations of the analysis are not a problem and the data isn’t skewed because it centers around that conclusion. I didn’t try to make it say anything more.

By: John Eigenauer

John Eigenauer — Wed, 15 Dec 2010 03:25:58 +0000

The problem with this analysis is that it looks at pitchers who pitched during those years and the question is whether Lee WILL pitch effectively during the coming years. The only question answered here is: How productive will Lee likely be IF he lasts all seven years. This data is skewed because it studies only pitchers who lasted that long. Since lasting that long MAKES them fine pitchers, the comparison is moot.

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