vs. Colby Lewis | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI |
Derek Jeter SS | 6 | 0.600 | 0.667 | 1.800 | 2 | 3 |
Curtis Granderson CF | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Mark Teixeira 1B | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Alex Rodriguez 3B | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Robinson Cano 2B | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Nick Swisher RF | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Jorge Posada C | 8 | 0.000 | 0.250 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Lance Berkman DH | 7 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Brett Gardner LF | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 21 | 0.167 | 0.286 | 0.500 | 2 | 3 |
vs. Phil Hughes | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI |
Elvis Andrus SS | 4 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Michael Young 3B | 8 | 0.000 | 0.125 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Josh Hamilton CF | 3 | 0.333 | 0.333 | 0.667 | 0 | 0 |
Vladimir Guerrero DH | 7 | 0.286 | 0.286 | 0.286 | 0 | 1 |
Nelson Cruz RF | 5 | 0.200 | 0.200 | 0.400 | 0 | 0 |
Ian Kinsler 2B | 6 | 0.000 | 0.167 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
David Murphy LF | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Bengie Molina C | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Mitch Moreland 1B | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 34 | 0.125 | 0.176 | 0.188 | 0 | 1 |
Posted in Game Preview, Yankees | Leave a Comment »
The hype surrounding the game one matchup between two-time defending Cy Young Tim Lincecum and likely-to-be 2010 Cy Young Roy Halladay has been so intense that is easy to forget the NLCS is actually a seven game series. Not only have both pitchers been among the best in the game over the past three seasons, but they are each coming off historic pitching performance in their respective NLDS outings. So, naturally, the anticipation for this game has been off the charts.

The marquee game one matchup of Lincecum vs. Halladay serves as the opening act for what could be an exciting NLCS (Photo: AP).
After the dust clears on the opener, however, there will still be six more games to go, and many more good pitchers to follow. As Jayson Stark details nicely in his column at ESPN, the Giants vs. Phillies NLCS will bring together one of the most dominant collection of starting pitchers in postseason history. In addition to the season long accomplishments of each team’s top trio, the series also features two “odd men out”, Joe Blanton and Madison Bumgarner, who pitched just as well down the stretch as their more high profile rotation mates. In other words, the NLCS should be long on low scoring games.
NLCS Scheduled Starters, September Performance
Name | W | L | ERA | GS | IP | H | HR | BB | SO |
Roy Oswalt | 4 | 0 | 1.12 | 6 | 40.1 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 37 |
Cole Hamels | 4 | 1 | 1.82 | 6 | 34.2 | 27 | 2 | 11 | 35 |
Joe Blanton | 3 | 0 | 3.19 | 6 | 36.2 | 37 | 7 | 11 | 36 |
Roy Halladay | 5 | 0 | 3.44 | 5 | 36.2 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 29 |
W | L | ERA | GS | IP | H | HR | BB | SO | |
Jonathan Sanchez | 4 | 1 | 1.01 | 6 | 35.2 | 18 | 3 | 19 | 42 |
Madison Bumgarner | 2 | 2 | 1.13 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 4 | 32 |
Tim Lincecum | 5 | 1 | 1.94 | 6 | 41.2 | 31 | 3 | 8 | 52 |
Matt Cain | 3 | 1 | 3.29 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 7 | 5 | 33 |
Source: Fangraphs.com
Of course, the Giants usually play low scoring affairs regardless of who is on the mound because of the relative weakness of their offense. The Phillies, meanwhile, seem to finally have their offense firing on all cylinders after a disappointing summer marred by injuries to their key offensive weapons. Over the last month of the season, the Phillies averaged over 5.5 runs per game, compared to the Giants, who managed to score only 3.6 runs per game over the same stretch. So, even though the teams do not rank that far apart in many offensive categories, the gap is really much larger than indicated by the season-long numbers.
NLCS Offensive Comparison
OBP | SLG | OPS+ | wRAA | wOBA | SB/CS | R/G | R/G in Sept. | |
Giants | 0.321 | 0.408 | 95 | -13 | 0.318 | 55/32 | 4.3 | 3.6 |
Phillies | 0.332 | 0.413 | 99 | 37 | 0.328 | 108/21 | 4.8 | 5.5 |
Source: Fangraphs.com and Baseball-reference.com
Does that mean the Giants have no chance to win the series? Well, not quite. As the old adage goes, “good pitching beats good hitting”. In this series, we can take it even a step further and say “great pitching shuts down all hitting”. As a result, if both rotations pitch to their potential, the Phillies edge on offense could be significantly mitigated. In other words, the Giants can’t win with good pitching performances, but their potential for great ones should give them a chance in the series.
Because runs should be at a premium, and starters should go deep into games, the late inning bullpens of both teams could be the deciding factor. In this regard, the Giants should have an overall edge, but once again not as great as the season numbers indicate because the Phillies’ three core relievers have all pitched well over the last month. Still, the diversity of the Giants bullpen, as well as the question marks that still seem to hover around Brad Lidge, give San Francisco the better chance to hold leads late in the ballgame.
NLCS Bullpen Comparison
Team | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | WHIP | LOB% | ERA |
Giants | 8.65 | 3.92 | 2.2 | 0.57 | 1.31 | 0.79 | 2.99 |
Phillies | 8.14 | 3.78 | 2.15 | 0.79 | 1.39 | 0.74 | 4.02 |
Source: Fangraphs.com
Key Members of the Giants and Phillies Bullpen, September Performance
Name | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | WHIP | LOB% | ERA |
Brad Lidge | 9.49 | 6.57 | 1.44 | 0.00 | 1.22 | 0.87 | 0.73 |
Ryan Madson | 8.80 | 4.11 | 2.14 | 0.59 | 1.04 | 0.90 | 1.17 |
J.C. Romero | 6.00 | 9.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.85 | 3.00 |
Jose Contreras | 7.59 | 2.53 | 3.00 | 1.69 | 1.31 | 0.71 | 4.22 |
Chad Durbin | 9.53 | 5.56 | 1.71 | 0.79 | 1.68 | 0.68 | 5.56 |
K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | WHIP | LOB% | ERA | |
Sergio Romo | 13.50 | 0.96 | 14.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
Ramon Ramirez | 5.40 | 0.90 | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
Guillermo Mota | 5.40 | 3.60 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.00 |
Santiago Casilla | 6.60 | 1.80 | 3.67 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.60 |
Brian Wilson | 9.39 | 2.35 | 4.00 | 0.59 | 0.78 | 0.94 | 1.17 |
Javier Lopez | 9.53 | 0.00 | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 1.59 |
Jeremy Affeldt | 6.75 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 0.83 | 2.25 |
Source: Fangraphs.com
The Giants biggest advantage in the series is the scheduled game four matchup between Blanton and Bumgarner, not only because the latter has pitched better of late, but also because the former has hardly pitched at all. The matchup that most favors the Phillies will take place when Cole Hamels faces off against Matt Cain, against whom Philadelphia has had considerable success. Of course, each of those matchups could be shifted based on the course of the series.
Giants’ Starters vs. Current Phillies’ Batters
Pitcher | PA | H | HR | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
Tim Lincecum | 159 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 45 | 0.192 | 0.244 | 0.363 | 0.607 |
Jonathan Sanchez | 133 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 37 | 0.150 | 0.278 | 0.239 | 0.517 |
Matt Cain | 91 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 0.280 | 0.352 | 0.622 | 0.974 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Phillies’ Starters vs. Current Giants’ Batters
Pitcher | PA | H | HR | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS |
Roy Halladay | 164 | 42 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 0.269 | 0.299 | 0.314 | 0.613 |
Roy Oswalt | 229 | 52 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 0.246 | 0.288 | 0.355 | 0.643 |
Cole Hamels | 143 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 0.250 | 0.298 | 0.462 | 0.760 |
Joe Blanton | 104 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 0.237 | 0.255 | 0.454 | 0.709 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Prediction: Phillies in Seven
Something tells me that the Lincecum versus Halladay confrontation is going to disappoint. Heralded pitchers’ duels have a habit of doing that. However, the rest of the series should feature a riveting succession of close games with scrutinized plays and strategic second guessing. Ultimately, Philadelphia’s offensive edge, home field advantage (which favors their power-laden lineup) and likely favorable game seven pitching matchup should result in the fightin’ Phils’ third consecutive National League pennant.
Posted in Baseball, MLB, Predictions | Tagged Playoffs | Leave a Comment »
Coming from behind has long been a Yankees’ hallmark. In the regular season, the team recorded a major’s best 48 comebacks, and then in the ALDS added two more for good measure. Overcoming a five run deficit with only three innings to play, well, that’s another matter altogether. In fact, in their history of 356 postseason games, the Yankees had come back from a deficit of at least five runs in only two (Game 1 of the 1997 ALDS and Game 4 of the 1996 World Series), and in each of those games the deficit was narrowed before the seventh inning.

Sabathia escaped further damage in the first inning by nabbing Nelson Cruz before he could touch homeplate (Photo: Getty Images).
Just as he did in the ALDS opener, C.C. Sabathia struggled with his command early in the ballgame. Sabathia’s inability to throw strikes and an inconsistent strike zone by homeplate umpire Jerry Davis conspired to set the Rangers up with a first and third rally only two batters into the game. By the end of the third batter, the Rangers would have a 3-0 lead, thanks to a laser homerun by Josh Hamilton, who deposited a hanging 0-2 slider over the wall in right.
The Yankees were lucky to escape the opening frame down only three runs because Sabathia never seemed to get it together. In fact, if not for a fortuitous bounce on a wild pitch with the bases loaded, Sabathia might not have made it out of the first inning. As things turned out, Sabathia’s “wild pitch” turned out to be his best of the inning when the ball ricocheted back to Jorge Posada. The Yankees’ catcher then underhand flipped the ball to a charging Sabathia, who made a sliding tag on the arm of Nelson Cruz to end the tumultuous inning.
Even though CJ Wilson seemed to be on his game from the first batter, the 3-0 deficit was far from daunting. Over the next few innings, Sabathia flirted with regaining his command and the Yankees mounted two first and second rallies, each of which came up short. Still, it seemed as if the Rangers had forfeited a chance to send the Yankees ace to an early shower and allowed the dangerous Bronx Bombers to remain at arm’s length. In the bottom of the fourth, however, they finally dropped the hammer.
After getting two outs in the fourth, Sabathia surrendered a single to Elvis Andrus and then a two run double to Michael Young before recovering to strikeout Hamilton to end the inning. Now down 5-0, the Yankees backs finally seemed to be against the wall, and the night of their big lefty was done after only four innings for the first time all season.
When the Yankees’ postseason roster was first announced, there was some consternation about the presence of both Dustin Moseley and Sergio Mitre. The counter to that angst went something like, “well, if either one is pitching in a game, it’s probably lost anyway”. Sure enough, after a scoreless fifth from the long lost Joba Chamberlain, Moseley entered the game in the sixth with the Yankees still trailing by five runs. Game over? Not quite.
Moseley’s two innings of work were nothing less than brilliant. Six batters were faced and four went down on strikes. In a close game, such a performance would have been much heralded, but in a lopsided contest, it seemed like garbage time window dressing, especially with Wilson still going strong. However, as the Yankees have proven countless times in October, things are not always as they seem.
Although there are several deserving candidates, for many, the race for the AL MVP has boiled down to Josh Hamilton and Robinson Cano. In the bottom of the first, Hamilton made a compelling case for why he means so much to his team, but the later rounds were all Robinson Cano. The Yankees’ second baseman got the team on the board for the first time in the seventh, when he lined a Wilson changeup just inside the right field foul pole. The blast seemed innocent enough with the Rangers’ still holding a four run lead, especially after Wilson retired the next three batters with relative ease. The Yankees’ MVP would be heard from again, however, and by the end of his ext at bat, all innocence would be lost.
Speaking of innocence, that’s exactly how the eighth inning started. Brett Gardner rolled over on a pitch and hit what looked like a sure 3-1 ground out. Wilson was late covering the bag, however, and the speedy Gardner slid safely into first, sacrificing his hand to the spikes of the sprinting pitcher. Although just a single, the hustle play appeared to quickly shift the momentum. Seizing on the opportunity, Derek Jeter immediately slammed a double past Michael Young, who was inexplicably playing on the infield grass, and the Yankees deficit had now been cut to three.
In the buildup to the series, much had been written and said about Nolan Ryan’s philosophy of having his pitchers’ throw deeper into games. During the broadcast, Ron Darling made exactly that point. In reality, however, that has really been more of a myth, and never was that more evident than in how Ron Washington handled the rest of the eighth inning.
Even though Wilson had only thrown 104 pitches up until the Jeter double, Washington opted to play the dangerous game of bullpen roulette. Unfortunately for the Rangers’ manager, there was a bullet in every chamber. Darren Oliver was summoned first, but all he did was add fuel to the fire, walking both Swisher and Teixeira to load the bases. Next in was Darren O’Day, but his evening lasted only one pitch as Alex Rodriguez lined a bullet past Young to score two more runs. The assembly line then spit out Clay Rapada, but his night was just as short. After giving up a line drive up the middle to Cano on the first pitch, the Yankees had come all the way back to tie the game and sent Washington back to the mound for Derek Holland. Although Holland lasted longer than a pitch, the Yankees completed the comeback when Marcus Thames lined a soft single to left that plated Arod with the go ahead run. Five runs, five pitchers, one inning.
The obvious second guess of Washington was why he decided to lift Wilson with only 104 pitches. A seething Nolan Ryan, who was seated prominently in the stands, was probably asking that very same question. Having said that, the Rangers bullpen has been a strength, and both Oliver and O’Day have been a big part of that. What defies explanation, however, was the use of Rapada and Holland, even though the latter did pitch relatively well. In the postgame press conference, Washington explained that he had faith in his bullpen, but he ultimately placed it in the wrong relievers. Instead of using Neftali Feliz or Alexi Ogando, who combined to give up one run in 22 2/3 innings over the final month of the season, Washington went with the struggling O’Day (six runs in nine September innings) and untested Rapada (only nine innings in 2010). The Yankees certainly deserve credit for the comeback, but the bullpen management of Washington was a big help.
Key Rangers’ Relievers, September Performance
Name | W | L | ERA | G | SV | IP | H | ER | HR | BB | SO |
Neftali Feliz | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 12 | 7 | 12 1/3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 |
Alexi Ogando | 1 | 0 | 0.87 | 14 | 0 | 10 1/3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Darren Oliver | 0 | 0 | 1.86 | 10 | 0 | 9 2/3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Derek Holland | 0 | 0 | 1.80 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Clay Rapada | 0 | 0 | 4.00 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
Darren O’Day | 2 | 0 | 5.79 | 11 | 0 | 9 1/3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
Source: Fangraphs.com
Now staked to a lead, Girardi went with his “eighth inning” guy, but the early returns looked as if they might be no better. Kerry Wood, who was wild in his last appearance in the ALDS, walked Ian Kinsler on four pitches and then fell behind David Murphy 2-1. Perhaps he was trying to steal, or get a good jump on the hit and run, but regardless, Kinsler left for second too soon and fell victim to a pickoff attempt. In their previous series against the Rays, the Rangers were lauded for their aggressive (and borderline reckless) base running, but with Wood about to unravel, that philosophy proved to be Wood’s salvation.
The Yankees squandered a chance to plate an insurance run in the ninth when Swisher followed another Jeter double with an ill advised bunt, but the Rangers returned the favor when they had Andrus give away an out with a sacrifice bunt in the bottom half of the inning. Of course, with Mariano Rivera on the mound, what choice did the Rangers have? Both Young and Hamilton had a crack at the tying run, but Rivera once again displayed the Yankees ultimate postseason advantage by recording a strikeout and weak grounder to end the game and preserve one of the greatest comebacks in the Yankees’ long post season history.
With the victory, the Yankees have now increased their postseason winning streak over the Rangers to a franchise record 10 games (one better than their streak over the just defeated Minnesota Twins). What’s more, the Rangers are no 0-7 in home playoff games. In other words, history seems to be working against Texas, which should only feed discussion of the psychological impact of yesterday’s turn of events. Of course, all of that is meaningless if the Rangers rebound to win game two. What is certain, however, is that the Rangers won’t feel safe again in this series until the final out is recorded.
Yankees vs. Rangers, Postseason History
Date | Series | Gm# | Tm | Opp | Rslt |
10/1/1996 | ALDS | 1 | NYY | TEX | L 2-6 |
10/2/1996 | ALDS | 2 | NYY | TEX | W 5-4 |
10/4/1996 | ALDS | 3 | NYY | TEX | W 3-2 |
10/5/1996 | ALDS | 4 | NYY | TEX | W 6-4 |
9/29/1998 | ALDS | 1 | NYY | TEX | W 2-0 |
9/30/1998 | ALDS | 2 | NYY | TEX | W 3-1 |
10/2/1998 | ALDS | 3 | NYY | TEX | W 4-0 |
10/5/1999 | ALDS | 1 | NYY | TEX | W 8-0 |
10/7/1999 | ALDS | 2 | NYY | TEX | W 3-1 |
10/9/1999 | ALDS | 3 | NYY | TEX | W 3-0 |
10/16/2010 | ALCS | 1 | NYY | TEX | W 6-5 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Posted in Baseball, Baseball History, Game Recap, MLB, Yankee History, Yankees | Tagged Playoffs | 1 Comment »
vs. C.J. Wilson | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI |
Derek Jeter SS | 17 | 0.357 | 0.471 | 0.571 | 1 | 2 |
Nick Swisher RF | 24 | 0.300 | 0.417 | 0.600 | 1 | 6 |
Mark Teixeira 1B | 7 | 0.000 | 0.286 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Alex Rodriguez 3B | 19 | 0.077 | 0.368 | 0.154 | 0 | 2 |
Robinson Cano 2B | 17 | 0.286 | 0.412 | 0.357 | 0 | 0 |
Marcus Thames DH | 11 | 0.455 | 0.455 | 0.455 | 0 | 1 |
Jorge Posada C | 5 | 0.000 | 0.400 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Curtis Granderson CF | 7 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 1 |
Brett Gardner LF | 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 112 | 0.231 | 0.339 | 0.352 | 2 | 12 |
vs. C.C. Sabathia | PA | BA | OBP | SLG | HR | RBI |
Elvis Andrus SS | 2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Michael Young 3B | 40 | 0.316 | 0.325 | 0.421 | 0 | 5 |
Josh Hamilton CF | 13 | 0.100 | 0.308 | 0.200 | 0 | 0 |
Vladimir Guerrero DH | 25 | 0.217 | 0.240 | 0.435 | 1 | 3 |
Nelson Cruz LF | 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Ian Kinsler 2B | 10 | 0.222 | 0.300 | 0.889 | 2 | 4 |
Jeff Francoeur RF | 13 | 0.167 | 0.231 | 0.167 | 0 | 1 |
Matt Treanor C | 0 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0 | 0 |
Jorge Cantu 1B | 12 | 0.083 | 0.083 | 0.167 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 120 | 0.207 | 0.250 | 0.360 | 3 | 13 |
Posted in Game Preview, Yankees | 1 Comment »
Tonight’s ALCS opens deep in the heart of Texas, and the Rangers will be looking to settle the score for three recent postseason eliminations suffered at the hands of the Yankees. Even though the storyline seems similar to the just completed ALDS against the Twins, the challenge facing the Yankees this time around should be much greater.
Offense Comparison, Season Totals
BB% | K% | OBP | SLG | ISO | Spd | wRC | wRAA | wOBA | |
Yankees | 10.40% | 20.40% | 0.350 | 0.436 | 0.169 | 5.3 | 865 | 132 | 0.347 |
Rangers | 8.10% | 17.50% | 0.338 | 0.419 | 0.143 | 4.9 | 785 | 61 | 0.333 |
Source: Fangraphs.com
Texas Hold ‘Em
If the numbers above look familiar, it’s because the Rangers offense is very similar to the Twins’, but with one significant exception: speed. Unlike the plodding Twins, the Rangers stole 123 bases in 161 attempts and have a lineup that can include as many as six stolen base threats. That could be bad news for the Yankees, who trailed the league in nabbing would-be base stealers, particularly in games started by the right handed Phil Hughes and AJ Burnett. Lost amid all the talk about the Rangers’ speed, however, is the fact that the Yankees actually do that part of the game better. Not only did the Bronx Bombers flex their muscles in 2010 with 201 HRs, but they also stole 103 bases in 133 attempts, a success rate six points better than the Rangers’. Nonetheless, the Yankees will need to do a better job holding runners close in late game situations as the Rangers are undoubtedly planning to test the arm of Jorge Posada.
Ironically, one area in which the Rangers do standout is in terms of the number of sacrifice bunts employed. In a sure sign that these aren’t your daddy’s Rangers, Ron Washington had his offense lay down a sacrifice in a league leading 53 situations. Considering the Yankees’ overall offensive superiority, if Washington continues to play for one run, he could be putting his team at a disadvantage.
Key Offensive Players
A popular misconception about the Rangers is their lineup is vulnerable to right handed pitchers. However, the team actually had a much higher OPS against them (.772 vs. .718 versus lefties). A big reason for that split was Josh Hamilton, whose OPS against righties was a sparkling 1.163. Also pitching in against righties have been David Murphy (.847) and Mitch Moreland (.869), but Hamilton’s real partner in crime has been Nelson Cruz (.941). Because Cruz also handles lefties with ease (.976), his presence in the lineup serves as a much needed counterweight, regardless of what kind of pitcher is on the mound.
In a lineup as deep as the Yankees, it’s hard to single out any one hitter, but in this series, it could be Robinson Cano. In 2010, Alex Rodriguez pummeled the Rangers to the tune of .360/.515/.720 in 33 plate appearances, including eight walks. As a result, you can bet Rangers’ pitchers will be loath to let Arod beat them. As his protection in the lineup, Cano is likely to find himself in several key situations, and his performance in them could go along way in determining the Yankees’ success in the series.
Pitching Comparison, Prospective Starters in 2010
W | L | ERA | IP | WHIP | H/9 | HR/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | SO/BB | |
Yankees | 110 | 51 | 3.78 | 1272 2/3 | 1.27 | 8.43 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.31 | 2.44 |
Rangers | 75 | 58 | 3.64 | 1155 1/3 | 1.19 | 7.81 | 0.82 | 2.91 | 7.73 | 2.66 |
Note: Cliff Lee’s numbers with the Seattle Mariners are not included. The statistics for pitchers tentatively scheduled to throw a second time have been counted twice.
Source: Fangraphs.com
Return of AJ
The Yankees emerged from the ALDS with fewer questions about their starting rotation, but the ALCS reintroduces perhaps their biggest concern…A.J. Burnett. The Yankees enigmatic right hander is currently scheduled to go in game four (although he could be pushed back if the Yankees decide to use Sabathia on three days rest), which coming on the heels of Cliff Lee’s start in game three, could make Burnett’s performance a pivotal factor in the series. It would be wrong, however, to let one start by Burnett overshadow the matchup advantages that the Yankees will enjoy because of the Rangers’ need to hold Lee back until the third game, especially if Burnett is opposed by Tommy Hunter, whose pitch-to-contact approach from the right side doesn’t usually bode well against the Yankees.
Key Pitching Matchups
Cliff Lee and C.C. Sabathia will not be facing each other in the ALCS. Instead, CJ Wilson will square off against Sabathia. Although Wilson had a very good season, he was 0-3 with a 5.65 ERA in 14 1/3 innings against the Yankees. There will be no such margin for error against Sabathia, who has yielded only a .533 OPS against to the current Texas’ roster, so the Rangers need Wilson to reverse that trend. Meanwhile, the Yankees should feel a little more comfortable with their counter to the Ranger’s ace. Although Lee has arguably been one of the most dominant postseason hurlers, Pettitte has been the most prolific. Interestingly, many of the big name hitters in each lineup have done well against both lefties, so each confrontation could be more about limiting the damage than shutting down the opposition.
Colby Lewis has mostly relied on a fastball and slider combination to fuel his successful return to the majors, but that plays directly into the Yankees hands as the Bronx Bombers rank third and first, respectively, in terms of runs above average generated against each pitch. What’s more, Lewis’ tendency to allow fly balls could also get him in trouble against the power laden Yankee lineup. Opposing Lewis in a games 2 and 6 will be Phil Hughes, who also is also prone to the fly ball. Unlike Lewis, however, Hughes’ has a more diverse arsenal, and the Rangers have not been particularly successful against his cutter/curveball combo. Ultimately, who keeps the ball in the park most could determine the outcome of the games in which Hughes and Lewis pitch.
Yankees’ Starters vs. Current Rangers’ Batters
PA | HR | RBI | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
Andy Pettitte | 173 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 27 | 0.327 | 0.390 | 0.497 | 0.886 |
C.C. Sabathia | 155 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 34 | 0.182 | 0.232 | 0.301 | 0.533 |
Phil Hughes | 42 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0.100 | 0.143 | 0.150 | 0.293 |
AJ Burnett | 238 | 7 | 24 | 20 | 50 | 0.207 | 0.286 | 0.352 | 0.638 |
Total | 608 | 15 | 60 | 47 | 119 | 0.226 | 0.291 | 0.364 | 0.655 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Rangers’ Starters vs. Current Yankees’ Batters
PA | HR | RBI | BB | SO | BA | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
Cliff Lee | 354 | 11 | 44 | 20 | 62 | 0.269 | 0.314 | 0.456 | 0.770 |
CJ Wilson | 146 | 2 | 18 | 21 | 35 | 0.248 | 0.372 | 0.355 | 0.728 |
Colby Lewis | 21 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0.167 | 0.286 | 0.500 | 0.786 |
Tommy Hunter | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.333 | 0.355 | 0.333 | 0.688 |
Total | 553 | 15 | 66 | 45 | 105 | 0.264 | 0.327 | 0.421 | 0.749 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Whose Pen Is Mightier?
Both the Yankees and Rangers featured strong bullpens. In fact, their performance was nearly identical. In Texas’ first round series against the Rays, however, the much relied upon trio of Neftali Feliz, Derek Holland and Darren Oliver struggled a bit, so if their woes carry over to the ALCS, the late game advantage could swing in favor of the Yankees. Although Mariano Rivera remains as the Yankees ultimate late inning edge, it should be noted that the Rangers hung two blown saves on the great closer back in September.
Bullpen Comparison, 2010 Totals
ERA | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | WHIP | LOB% | |
Yankees | 3.47 | 7.69 | 3.61 | 2.13 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 77.00% |
Rangers | 3.38 | 7.58 | 3.63 | 2.09 | 0.86 | 1.27 | 77.90% |
Source: Fangraphs.com
On defense, both teams feature outfields with plus range along with infields that are somewhat below average, although both Cano and Feliz appear much better to the eye than defensive metrics like UZR/150. The Rangers’ greatest advantage in the field is behind the plate, at least on nights when Bengie Molina is catching.
Prediction: Yankees in Five
The Yankees and Rangers are evenly matched in pitching, both starting and the bullpen, and defense, but the Bronx Bombers do have a decided edge with the bats. As a result, the Yankees should have more of a margin for error against pitchers not named Cliff Lee. That luxury, combined with Sabathia’s historic dominance over the Rangers, should be enough for the Yankees to wrap the series up in five games. If that doesn’t happen, you can bet the Yankees will want to get it done by game six because even with Pettitte slated to go in the finale, the specter of beating Lee with all the marbles on the line seems daunting.
Posted in Baseball, MLB, Predictions, Yankees | Tagged Playoffs | Leave a Comment »
A New York Yankees spokesperson has informed the Gay and Lesbian Alliance Against Defamation (GLAAD) that the singing of homophobic lyrics at Yankee Stadium will not be tolerated, and any fan engaging in such action will be ejected from the premises. Although you’d like to think that such a policy would go without saying, recent actions at game three of the ALDS necessitated the announcement. Sadly, such behavior has become all too common in the bleachers at Yankee Stadium.
One of the best parts of the new Yankee Stadium is the bleachers are not only inexpensive, but they provide an excellent view of the ballgame. Unfortunately, however, they have also become a haven for abhorrent behavior. I was lucky enough to attend game three in the left field bleachers, and although I didn’t witness the homophobic parody mentioned above, the level of profanity was discouraging. Apparently, to a disturbingly large percentage of section 237, cursing and berating Twins fans was of more interest than the game. Such behavior is not uncommon in the bleachers, and it’s time for the Yankees to put an end to it.
Yankee fans pride themselves on being knowledgeable and loyal, but those who behave like miscreants give all of us a bad name. It’s one thing to ride the opposition, and even the opposition’s fans, but quite another to be vulgar and abusive. If an increasingly vocal component of the fan base can’t control its behavior, it may be time for those who actually care about the game to demand that the Yankees take measures to ensure that everyone can enjoy a safe environment. Whether it is removing alcohol sales from close proximity to the bleachers, increasing security or more strictly enforcing compliance with existing rules of conduct, the Yankees shouldn’t wait for complaints to show up on their doorstep.
In the meantime, the majority of Yankee fans, who are among the best in the game, need to send the message that vile behavior will not be tolerated. The Bleacher Creatures, in particular, should take ownership of this issue. Their pre-game roll call is the kind of ritual that exemplifies the passion of Yankee fans, so perhaps that group could use its influence to discourage those around them who get out of hand? The fact of the matter is every Yankee fan has the responsibility to expose those who not only embarrass the fan base, but the city as well. Otherwise, the negative stereotypes often used to disparage Yankee fans will turn out to be well deserved.
Posted in Baseball, Culture, MLB, Yankees | Tagged Fans | 2 Comments »
When the Yankees swept the ALDS, they increased their postseason winning streak over the Minnesota Twins to nine games. Coincidentally, the Yankees also happen to be riding a nine game winning streak against the Texas Rangers, the team they will now face in the postseason. Listed below is a breakdown of the Yankees postseason record against every opponent, followed by some interesting facts.
Yankees All-Time Post Season Record, by Opponent
W | L | T | W% | Series W | Series L | Longest WStrk | Longest LStrk | |
Chicago Cubs | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | |
San Diego Padres | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
Texas Rangers | 9 | 1 | 0.900 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | |
Minnesota Twins | 12 | 2 | 0.857 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 | |
Atlanta Braves | 8 | 2 | 0.800 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | |
Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
New York Mets | 4 | 1 | 0.800 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 2 | 0.800 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
Oakland Athletics | 9 | 4 | 0.692 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 4 | 0.636 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |
Seattle Mariners | 10 | 6 | 0.625 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Cincinnati Reds | 8 | 5 | 0.615 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | |
Brooklyn Dodgers | 27 | 17 | 0.614 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | |
Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Boston Red Sox | 11 | 8 | 0.579 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
San Francisco Giants | 4 | 3 | 0.571 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
New York Giants | 19 | 16 | 1 | 0.543 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
St. Louis Cardinals | 15 | 13 | 0.536 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | |
Kansas City Royals | 9 | 8 | 0.529 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
Milwaukee Braves | 7 | 7 | 0.500 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
Anaheim Angels | 7 | 8 | 0.467 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
Cleveland Indians | 7 | 8 | 0.467 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
Los Angeles Dodgers | 10 | 12 | 0.455 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 3 | 4 | 0.429 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
Florida Marlins | 2 | 4 | 0.333 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Detroit Tigers | 1 | 3 | 0.250 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Yankees All-Time Post Season Record, by Series
W | L | W% | Game WStrk | Game LStrk | Series W | Series L | Series WStrk | Series LStrk | |
ALDS | 39 | 27 | 0.591 | 6 (2x) | 4 (2x) | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
ALCS | 43 | 24 | 0.642 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
WS | 134 | 89 | 0.598 | 14 | 8 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 2 |
Total | 216 | 140 | 0.605 | 12 (2x) | 8 | 48 | 21 | 11 | 4 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
World Series Record, By Game
W | L | T | Pct | |
Game 1 | 24 | 16 | 0.600 | |
Game 2 | 23 | 16 | 1 | 0.575 |
Game 3 | 26 | 14 | 0.650 | |
Game 4 | 24 | 16 | 0.600 | |
Game 5 | 18 | 12 | 0.600 | |
Game 6 | 14 | 8 | 0.636 | |
Game 7 | 5 | 7 | 0.417 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
American League Playoff Record, By Game
ALCS | ALDS | ||||||
W | L | Pct | W | L | Pct | ||
Game 1 | 9 | 4 | 0.692 | Game 1 | 10 | 6 | 0.625 |
Game 2 | 8 | 5 | 0.615 | Game 2 | 10 | 6 | 0.625 |
Game 3 | 7 | 6 | 0.538 | Game 3 | 11 | 5 | 0.688 |
Game 4 | 8 | 3 | 0.727 | Game 4 | 5 | 7 | 0.417 |
Game 5 | 7 | 3 | 0.700 | Game 5 | 3 | 3 | 0.500 |
Game 6 | 3 | 2 | 0.600 | ||||
Game 7 | 1 | 1 | 0.500 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Total Postseason Record, By Game
W | L | T | Pct | |
Game 1 | 43 | 26 | 0.623 | |
Game 2 | 41 | 27 | 1 | 0.594 |
Game 3 | 44 | 25 | 0.638 | |
Game 4 | 37 | 26 | 0.587 | |
Game 5 | 28 | 18 | 0.609 | |
Game 6 | 17 | 10 | 0.630 | |
Game 7 | 6 | 8 | 0.429 |
Source: Baseball-reference.com
Fun Facts
- The Diamondbacks, Marlins and Tigers are the only teams against whom the Yankees have not won a postseason series (among those they have played).
- The Cardinals are the only team to have won more World Series than they lost against the Yankees.
- The Yankees are 11-3 in “Subway Series”.
- The Yankees have never faced the Rays, Blue Jays, White Sox, Nationals/Expos, Astros and Rockies in the postseason.
- The Yankees longest postseason losing streak was eight games, suffered at the hands of the New York Giants from game 6 of the 1921 World Series until Game 1 of the 1923 World Series.
- The Yankees longest winning streak in the World Series is 14 games, beginning in game 3 of the 1996 World Series and lasting until game 3 of the 2000 World Series.
- The Yankees record for most consecutive post season wins is 12 games, which was accomplished twice: over the 1927, 28 and 36 World Series as well as Game 4 of the 1998 ALCS through Game 2 of the 1999 ALCS.
- The Yankees won a record 11 postseason series, beginning with the 1998 ALDS and ending with the 2001 World Series. From 1927 to 1941, the Yankees won all eight of the World Series in which they played. The record for most World Series victories in consecutive years is five, established by the 1949-1953 Yankees.
- The only Yankee to ever win two postseason MVP awards is Mariano Rivera, who earned the hardware in the 1999 World Series and 2003 ALCS.
- The Yankees postseason winning percentage of .605 is better than the team’s regular season winning percentage of .568.
Posted in Baseball, Baseball History, MLB, Yankee History, Yankees | Tagged Playoffs, World Series | 2 Comments »