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The struggling Yankees offense needs Mark Teixeira to regain his lefty swing.

After struggling in April, as he does each season, Mark Teixeira seemed to turn the corner as soon as the calendar flipped to May. In the first half of the month, Teixeira posted a line of .333/.406/.649 with 5 HRs and 19 RBIs in 14 games from May 1 to May 15. Since that time, however, the Yankee first baseman has fallen back into a deep slumber, posting a line of .186/.255/.209 over the next 10 games.

The strange thing about Teixeira’s slump is there doesn’t seem to be any identifiable reason for it. Unlike Derek Jeter, whose recent slump was characterized by an increased rate of swinging at pitches out of the strike zone and a corresponding decline in line drive percentage, Teixeira’s swing and contact rates have remained nearly identical to last season. Yet, for some reason, his BABIP has plummeted all the way to .226, which is well below his career rate of .305.

Swings
Mark Teixeira Out of Zone LD% GB:FB BB% K% Pit/PA BABIP
2010 21.4% 18.8% 0.89 13.5% 20.4% 4.0% 0.226
2009 21.7% 19.8% 0.83 11.5% 18.7% 3.9% 0.302

So, is luck the reason for Teixeira’s early season struggles? Although that may be part of the explanation, it does seem as if some other dynamic is at play. What stands out most is Teixeira’s struggles as a left handed batter. Not only is his OPS as a lefty a full 200 points lower than from the right side (.627 vs. 831), but his BABIP from the port side has also declined by a larger percentage compared to last year’s rates (27% from the left side versus 19% from the right side).

Mark Teixeira AVG OBP SLG w_OBA BABIP
as LHB 0.187 0.310 0.317 0.293 0.213
as RHB 0.259 0.348 0.483 0.360 0.250

Perhaps even more significant, fly balls hit to right field by Teixeira as a lefty are simply not leaving the park. Last year, 47.1% of fly balls pulled to right went for HRs, but this year, that rate has fallen drastically to 25% (his percentage as a righty pull hitter has actually increased from 40% to 50%).  Clearly, Teixeira’s struggles from the left side have led to the depth and duration of his nearly season long slump. But, why has his lefty stroke alluded him for so long?

HR/FB
Mark Teixeira 2010 2009
as LHB 8.9% 18.8%
to Right Field 25.0% 47.1%
as RHB 17.6% 15.8%
to Left Field 50.0% 40.0%

Continue Reading »

With the score tied 2-2, Andy Pettitte was up to his neck in a jam that wasn’t his doing. After Brett Gardner failed to make a running catch in the right center gap and Arod erred on a subsequent bunt attempt, Pettitte faced a first and third situation with no outs. Orlando Hudson next hit a line drive that was ticketed for centerfield, but Pettitte threw up his glove at the last second and snagged the drive. With disaster temporarily averted, Pettitte then had to face the reigning MVP Joe Mauer. Limiting the damage seemed to be the best case scenario, especially after Pettitte fell behind in the count 3-1, but Mauer jumped on a cutter just off the plate and hit a scorching groundball to short stop that Jeter and Cano turned into a double play.

Nick Swisher rounds third base after his ninth inning home run gave the Yankees a 3-2 lead (Photo:AP).

After being granted a reprieve, the Yankees finally broke the deadlock when Nick Swisher belted a John Rauch changeup deep into the last row of the seats in the right field pavilion. Now with the lead, Joe Girardi once again summoned his closer. Earlier, in the suspended game, Mariano Rivera struggled a bit with his command, but in the evening tilt, he was on his game. Three ground balls later and the Yankees were exchanging high fives for the second time in one day.

Andy Pettitte was the reason the Yankees were able to hang close in yet another game in which their offense was dormant. After giving up a first inning run, Pettitte shut the Twins down until the seventh, during which time the Yankees built a 2-1 lead. In the fourth inning, Francisco Cervelli just beat out an attempted double play that would have ended the inning. Cervelli and the Yankees were rewarded for that hustle moments later when Kevin Russo’s double into the left field corner plated the tying run. In the sixth, the Yankees took their first lead of the game, and it was the bottom of the lineup that came through once again. With two outs, Russo, who has been in the middle of many a Yankee rally since being recalled from the minors, singled to extend the inning and then scored on Brett Gardner’s triple to right.

The Twins eventually tied the game in the bottom of seventh when long-time Pettitte nemesis Delmon Young doubled home Michael Cuddyer, whose single snapped a string of eight batters retired in a row. Pettitte quickly recovered from the blow to preserve the tie with a pitch count low enough to warrant coming out for the eighth inning, which set the stage for the climatic battle against Mauer.

After losing five of seven last week, two quick wins over the first place Twins was a much needed shot in the arm for the Yankees. Even more encouraging were the two strong starts by Pettitte and Burnett as well as a return to normalcy in the backend of the bullpen. However, the offense remains the 800 pound gorilla. The schedule does get easier after tomorrow’s series finale, but the Yankees still need the offense to pick-up, especially Mark Teixeira, whose slump has had a ripple effect on the entire lineup. With the AL East race tightening, the Yankees can’t afford to fall back into a funk. If they can avoid doing so, we may look back on this game, and Pettitte’s showdown with Mauer, as a turning point.

Victories have been few and far between for the Yankees of late, so needing a full day to polish off a win seems strangely appropriate.

Derek Jeter receives congratulations from Brett Gardner after hitting a homerun in the sixth inning. Jeter's HR provided the margin of victory in a 1-0 win (Photo: The Canadian Press).

After playing five scoreless innings on Tuesday night, Derek Jeter belted a deep blast over the centerfield field wall to give the Yankees an immediate 1-0 lead upon resumption of the game. Then, in the bottom of the inning, Jeter’s defense helped preserve the lead when he fielded a ground ball deep in the hole and used his patented jump throw to nab Delmon Young with runners on second and third.

Aside from Jeter, the Yankee bullpen also played a major role in the game. David Robertson not only recorded 1 2/3 innings of shutout ball, but also endured a Joe Mauer line drive off his back that richoted into the glove of Alex Rodriguez for an out. With two outs in the seventh, Robertson eventually gave way to Joba Chamberlain, who also navigated the middle of the Twins lineup in the eighth. The highlight of that inning was a high fastball that Joba blew by Justin Morneau for a strikeout.

In the ninth inning, Mariano Rivera was able to close out the victory for AJ Burnett, who pulled off the rare feat of getting a win on a day in which he didn’t pitch. It wasn’t easy for Mo, however. For the fourth straight outing, Rivera seemed to struggle with his command, and even lowered his head after letting go of a 3-2 cutter that hung in the zone to JJ Hardy. Off the bat, it looked as if Hardy had tied the game, but the ballpark held the blast and Kevin Russo ran it down for an out. Rivera then walked Thome, as he had done in his last blown save, but rebounded to induce a double play from Denard Span.

The strong outings by Robertson and Chamberlain were particularly important to see because the Yankees may be without jack-of-all-trades Alfredo Aceves for an extended period of time. Even if both pitchers round into form, however, the Yankees will still need Mariano to regain  his form if they are going to defend their championship. In addition, the Yankees need bats like Teixeira, Cano and Swisher to awaken because the Yankees pitchers have been showing signs of cracking under the relative lack of support.

The Yankees send Andy Pettitte to the mound in the “second” game of the day, but probably can’t expect to win another low scoring affair. They will not only need Pettitte to give them length, especially with Robertson likely unavailable for the evening, but the lineup needs to take advantage of its scoring opportunities and jump out to an early lead.

Seasons can turn on a dime in baseball, so two road victories against a quality team like the Twins could go a long way toward snapping the Yankees out of their funk. The likes of Morneau and Mauer stand in that way, however, so a “twin killing” won’t come easy

Last night, Minnesota Twins fans experienced their the first in-game rain delay since September 26, 1981, when a 48 minute hiatus interrupted a contest against the Texas Rangers. It was also the first delay of any kind at a Twins’ home game since August 29, 1992, when a lighting problem caused play to be halted for 29 minutes. Interestingly, the Yankees were the opponent on that night as well. Although play eventually resumed that night, yesterday’s interruption resulted in a suspended game, which will be played to completion at 5:05PM today. The game will resume in the top of the sixth inning with the score tied at 0-0.

Over the first five innings of yesterday’s game, the Yankees offense showed no signs of breaking out if its slump, so maybe the rain was a blessing in disguise. After a good night’s rest and some fresh air, maybe some of those sleeping bats will come awake. In the meantime, for those down in the dumps about the Yankees recent malaise, here is a look at the Yankee lineup from that game back in 1992. Remember, things could always be worse!

Batting
Bernie Williams CF
Randy Velarde SS
Mel Hall PH
Andy Stankiewicz SS
Don Mattingly 1B
Danny Tartabull RF
Dion James RF
Roberto Kelly LF
Mike Stanley C
Jim Leyritz DH
Charlie Hayes 3B
Pat Kelly 2B
Pitching
Bob Wickman P
Steve Farr P

Tonight, the Yankees make their first trip to Target Field, the Minnesota Twins’ brand new ballpark and the latest in baseball’s building renaissance. The inaugural visit by the Yankees marks the first time the Bronx Bombers have played in a new American League ballpark, other than their own, in ten years. In the past, the Yankees haven’t always been the most gracious visitors on their initial trip to an opponent’s new digs.  In their first games played at the remaining 12 American League parks, the Yankees have an 8-4 record.

Opponent Ballpark (name at opening) Date Result
Minnesota Target Field 05/25/10 ???
Detroit Comerica Park 05/12/00 Tiger 9 Yankees 7
Seattle SafeCo Field 08/05/99 Yankees 7 Mariners 4
Tampa Bay Tropicana Field 07/09/98 Yankees 2 Devil Rays 0
Cleveland Jacobs Field 06/24/94 Yankees 11 Indians 6
Texas The Ballpark At Arlington 06/06/94 Yankees 17 Rangers 7
Baltimore Camden Yards 06/19/92 Orioles 10 Yankees 7
Chicago Comiskey Park II 04/26/91 Yankees 3 White Sox 2
Toronto SkyDome 06/21/90 Yankees 7 Blue Jays 6
Kansas City Royals Stadium 06/08/73 Yankees 8 Royals 1
Oakland Oakland Coliseum 04/22/68 Yankees 2 A’s 1
Anaheim Anaheim Stadium 05/06/66 Angels 7 Yankees 4
Boston Fenway Park 04/20/12 Red Sox 7 Yankees 6

Earlier, we detailed how the decline in the Yankees offense has contributed to the team’s current 5-10 stretch. It should be noted, however, that although the 4.73 runs/game scored over that span represents a significant drop off for the Yankees, it still ranks above the league average of 4.52 runs/game. So, all of the blame can’t be placed on the lineup.

Since May 9, the Yankees have posted an ERA of 4.95, which has caused their season rate to increase a full half run from 3.42 to 3.93. More than aggregate poor performance, however, the inconsistency of the staff (and particularly its more reliable members) is what has contributed to the recent downturn.

Yankees’ Starters (May 9 to May 23)

Starters INN GS QS W L K BBI HA ERA WHIP
CC Sabathia 18 3 1 0 2 15 5 23 2.00 1.556
Phil Hughes 17 2/3 3 1 1 1 18 5 19 3.06 1.358
AJ Burnett 17 2/3 3 1 0 2 12 11 25 1.02 2.038
Javier Vazquez 13 2 2 2 1 13 4 6 11.08 0.769
Andy Pettitte 11 1/3 2 1 1 1 5 5 11 7.15 1.412
Sergio Mitre 9 1/3 2 0 0 1 7 3 9 11.57 1.286
Total 87 15 6 4 8 70 33 93 5.07 1.448

Of the 15 starts since May 9, only six have met the loose criteria of a quality start (at least six innings and no more than three earned runs). Ironically, Javier Vazquez has been the only Yankee starter to record two quality starts (as well as two wins, although one was in relief), with the remaining four permanent members of the rotation each recording only one. From those six quality starts, the Yankees earned four victories: in one, the bullpen blew a lead (vs. Boston on May 18), while in the other, the Yankees were shutout(vs. Detroit on May 12). Of course, that means the Yankees were only able to win one of the other nine “non quality” outings.

A.J. Burnett’s May 9 outing against the Red Sox (8ER 4 1/3 IP), which was the start of the current downturn, was the worst outing that the Yankees had to endure. Unfortunately, it wasn’t much worse than his May 19 start against the Rays (6ER, 6 1/3 IP), which also placed the Yankees in an early hole against a division rival.

Burnett hasn’t been the only culprit. More surprising have been the two meltdowns of the usually reliable C.C. Sabathia. In key battles against fellow aces Justin Verlander and Johan Santana, Sabathia yielded six runs in each game, effectively giving the Yankees little chance in either game. Continue Reading »

On Saturday, May 8, the Yankees were flying high after routing the Boston Red Sox 14-3 at Fenway Park. The resounding victory pushed the Yankees’ record to 21-8 and moved the team to within one-half game of the Rays. Since then, however, the Yankees have been in a free fall, compiling the league’s worst record over the last 15 games at 5-10. Making matters worse, the Rays (10-5) and Red Sox (10-5) share the league’s top record over the same time period. As a result, the Yankees now stand 5 ½ games from first place and only two games ahead of fourth place.

Over the course of the day, we’ll take a look at the reasons why the Yankees have struggled so mightily. This installment begins that process by examining the offense.

Offensive Statistics From May 9 to May 23
(Sorted by Usual Spot in the Lineup, excludes pitchers)

Player PA R HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS WPA
Derek Jeter 72 5 0 5 0.224 0.278 0.269 0.547 -0.362
Brett Gardner 70 9 1 4 0.219 0.286 0.297 0.583 -0.684
Mark Teixeira 68 8 2 10 0.213 0.294 0.344 0.638 -0.416
Alex Rodriguez 66 11 4 13 0.317 0.379 0.567 0.946 0.590
Robinson Cano 65 6 0 7 0.312 0.354 0.410 0.764 0.183
Jorge Posada 24 3 1 2 0.450 0.542 0.750 1.292 0.243
Nick Swisher 39 8 1 1 0.303 0.410 0.424 0.835 -0.216
Marcus Thames 36 3 1 6 0.269 0.444 0.423 0.868 0.478
Francisco Cervelli 48 6 0 7 0.275 0.348 0.400 0.748 0.035
Randy Winn 42 2 0 4 0.229 0.333 0.286 0.619 -0.428
Juan Miranda 27 6 2 5 0.261 0.370 0.652 1.023 -0.116
Kevin Russo 10 1 0 3 0.333 0.400 0.444 0.844 0.274
Ramiro Pena 17 3 0 2 0.313 0.353 0.313 0.665 -0.127
Greg Golson 5 0 0 0 0.400 0.400 0.400 0.800 -0.061
Total 589 71 12 69 0.271 0.349 0.401 0.750  

Injuries have obviously played a role in the Yankees demise. On offense, the collective impact of losing Curtis Granderson, Nick Johnson and Jorge Posada has taken a toll, which was further compounded by more short-term injuries to Nick Swisher and Marcus Thames. However, injuries alone do not explain the team’s poor record over the last two weeks. After all, the Yankees should have enough star power to at least partly compensate for even three key losses, especially when you consider that two replacements, Marcus Thames and Juan Miranda, have combined for a line of .265/.419/.530 in 62 PAs.

Over the last 15 games, the Yankees real problem has not been who wasn’t in the lineup, but rather the poor performance of the remaining all stars who have been playing. In particular, Derek Jeter and Mark Teixeira have really struggled; Jeter for the entire month and Teixeira since hitting three home runs against Boston on May 8.

Jeter’s anemic line of .224/.278/.269 over the last 15 games has been particularly concerning because of how poorly he has looked at the plate. In addition to swinging at an inordinate number of pitches out of the strike zone (32.3%), Jeter has also posted an alarming groundball rate (4.1:1), which has come at the expense of the number of line drives (16.4%). Continue Reading »

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