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If the third time’s a charm, fans in Houston must be absolutely smitten with the Astros. After going without a 100-loss season for the first 49 years of its existence, the franchise has now reeled off three straight.

10-Worst Three Year Spans, by Total Losses (1901-2013)
mostLossesin3years

Source: baseball-reference.com

With last night’s 10-0 loss to the Reds, the Astros clinched their third consecutive 100-loss season, a rare trifecta accomplished by only 11 other teams (most recently by the 2004 to 2006 Kansas City Royals). In addition, with 11 games remaining, Houston has also put itself in position to accumulate more defeats over a three year span than all but five other teams in baseball history. Sometimes, good things don’t come to those who wait.

100-Loss Seasons by Franchise

100losshistoryNote: Data as of September 17, 2013, but assumes Marlins will lose 100 games this season.
Source: baseball-reference.com

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When the Yankees rallied to win last night’s game in Baltimore, they did more than just keep their wild card hopes alive. The victory, which gave the Bronx Bombers a 10-9 edge in the season series, also extended their supremacy over the Orioles to 16 consecutive years.

The Yankees 16-year span without losing a season series to the Orioles is one of four streaks of at least a decade that the Bronx Bombers currently enjoy over another franchise. Earlier this year, the Yankees extended their runs of success over the Royals, Twins and Mariners to 14, 12 and 11, respectively. On the flip side, the Yankees’ longest active season series losing streak is only two (compiled against the Phillies in 2009 and 2010), although the Rays will join that list this year unless the Yankees sweep them on the next home stand.

Yankees’ Current Season Series Streaks
currentseasonseries

Note: Positive streaks include .500 seasons. Includes only completed or clinched season series as of September 13, 2013.
Source: Baseball-reference.com Continue Reading »

The Atlanta Braves gather around  the smiling Jose Fernandez. (Photo: AP)

The Atlanta Braves gather around the smiling Jose Fernandez. (Photo: AP)

Jose Fernandez capped of an impressive rookie season by not only beating the National League’s best team, but also hitting his first major league home run to boot. However, instead of being cause for celebration, the 20-year old right hander found himself at the center of controversy.

Somebody hits off him, and he smiles. It seems like you’re not supposed to get a hit off of him.” – Braves pitcher Mike Minor, quoted by AP, September 11, 2013

Fernandez’ methodical home run trot, which precipitated a benches clearing discussion, probably wasn’t the appropriate response to in-game chiding from the Atlanta Braves. However, even before Fernandez sashayed around the bases, it was apparent that the N.L. East leaders were preoccupied with his antics on the mounds. Apparently, the rookie’s confidence was too much for the Braves to handle.

Much has been written about the Fernandez’ run-in with the Braves, but, quite frankly, the incident doesn’t deserve much inspection, especially if doing so detracts from the rookie’s impressive season. After all, if Fernandez reacts surprised every time he gives up a hit, it’s with good reason. In over 170 innings, the 20-year old allowed only 111, good for the tenth lowest opponents’ batting average in baseball history (minimum of 150 innings). Mike Minor might not like the arrogance his smile implies, but, relatively speaking, opposing batters are not supposed to get a hit off Fernandez.

Lowest Single Season Pitcher’s Batting Average Against, 1901-2013
lowestBAagainst
Note: Includes all pitchers with at least 150 innings pitched.
Source: fangraphs.com

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Last night, the Yankees were in the right place at the wrong time. Had they hosted the Red Sox one week earlier, they probably would have won the opening game of their four game series against Boston. After all, without the expanded rosters of September, Quintin Berry would have been playing in Pawtucket, not stealing second base at Yankee Stadium.

Quintin Berry's stolen base in the ninth inning may have changed the course of the AL Wild Card race.

Quintin Berry’s stolen base in the ninth inning may have changed the course of the AL Wild Card race.

Complaints about Berry, who is now 22 for 22 in stolen base attempts, being on the Red Sox roster amount to nothing more than sour grapes. Nonetheless, his stolen base was an illustration of how baseball in September is different from the other months. Before the first of the month, there would have been no Berry, no stolen base, and, by extension, no tying run. Instead, Franklin Morales would have been toiling in the bullpen, with everyone in Red Sox Nation hoping the team didn’t need to use him.

The impact of the Red Sox expanded roster on last night’s game begs two questions. One is whether baseball should play under different rules in the final month of the season. The other is why don’t more teams eschew an 11th and sometimes 12th pitcher in favor of a position player like Berry who can have a specific, high leverage impact on a game?

The easiest way to address both questions would be to simply add a few more roster slots during the entire regular season. However, there’s no guarantee that some teams wouldn’t simply pack their bullpen even further. Not only would this thwart the promotion of a more interesting end-game, but it would further bog down the late innings with countless pitching changes. Besides, the owners would never agree to adding more roster spots, which would require the payment of a major league salary as well as the allocation of service time.

As a compromise, Buck Showalter has proposed implementing a taxi squad in September. Under his plan, teams would be allowed to have an extended roster travel with the club, but for each game, only 25 players would be active. Showalter’s suggestion is a good place to start. In fact, it is similar to the system major league baseball was prepared to use when replacement players were slated to begin the 1995 season.  However, in order to address the two main concerns mentioned above, a few tweaks would be needed.

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For some major leaguers, their name is a unique identity, while others are saddled with a moniker so common or mundane that they are compelled to change it. However, from among both groups is a special breed…one who can answer the question, “What’s in a name?”, with the spelling of their own.

Boston fans are hoping Xander Bogaerts close association with the Red Sox goes well beyond the spelling of his name. (Photo: USA Today)

Bostonians are hoping Xander Bogaerts’ close association with the Red Sox goes well beyond the spelling of his name. (Photo: USA Today)

Take Xander Bogaerts. Sure, some might be impressed by his extraordinary talent, but what really sets the young Boston short stop apart from his peers are the letters in his name. When Bogaerts made his major league debut, the 20-year old became only the second player in the 113-year history of Red Sox to contain the letters “R-e-d-S-o-x” in his name. Over that span, nearly 1,700 players have suited up for the franchise, but before Bogaerts, only Jennings Poindexter could make this rather unique “claim to name”.

Bogaerts is not alone among active players who share a special link to their team’s name (let’s call them the “I-Team”). Devin Mesoraco (Reds), Shawn Kelley (Yankees), Santiago Casilla (Giants), Daisuke Matsuzaka (Mets), Yunel Escobar (Rays), and Logan Morrison (Marlins) all share the same distinction. However, throughout baseball history, the company is extremely select. According to baseball-reference.com, 18,130 players had participated in the big leagues as of August 30, 2013, but only 315 could use the letters in their name to spell the one emblazoned across their chest.

I-Team: Franchises and Players Sharing the Common Bond of a Name
ITEAM

Note: Data as of August 30, 2013 (see the full list for explanation of the criteria used).
Source: Baseball-reference.com (data) and proprietary

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Labor Day is the unofficial stretch call for the baseball season, and this year in the American League, the race for the wild card seems likely to go down to the wire. With less than a month to go, seven teams (aside from the Red Sox and Tigers, who have established substantial division leads) are within five games of a wild card slot, so a photo finish could be in the offing.

Surveying the Field of A.L. Wild Card Contenders
WCsnap

Source: baseball-reference.com

The Oakland Athletics and Texas Rangers are currently tied in the A.L. West, but, with both teams enjoying a 5 ½ game lead over the closest pursuer for the second wild card slot, a play-in game is all but a guaranteed consolation. Less than a week ago, the same seemed true about the Rays, but a costly losing streak has almost put the A.L. East out of reach and removed the wild card safety net in the process. As a result of Tampa’s stumble, the Orioles, Yankees, Indians and Royals have been able to revive their playoff push. About 25 games remain, so there’s plenty of time for these contenders to make a move. However, just as important as how many games remain for each team is the quality of the opponents left on their respective schedules.

A.L. Wild Card Contenders Strength of Schedule
WCopprecords

Note: Opponent records are weighted averages based on W-L multiplied by games against each opponent.
Source: baseball-reference.com

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It’s been a choppy ride for the Yankees in 2013, but their slim playoff hopes have been kept afloat by a life raft: the Toronto Blue Jays.

Many expected the Yankees and Blue Jays to battle for supremacy in the A.L. East, but instead, the Bronx Bombers have used Toronto to prop up their lagging pursuit of the postseason. With four games between the two clubs still remaining, the Yankees have outscored the Blue Jays by 31 runs while compiling a 13-2 record against them. Without such dominance over Toronto, the Yankees would probably already be planning early October vacations.

Yankees’ Best/Worst Single Season Series, 1901-2013
BestWorstSeasonSeries

Note: Rankings are based on winning percentage and include season series of 10 games or more.
*Season series includes one tie.
Source: baseball-reference.com (data) and proprietary (compilation)

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