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Now that the county has moved past the distraction of a presidential election, it can get back to the important business of its national pastime. From today until Friday, major league baseball’s general managers will convene in California to discuss some important rule changes and, perhaps, a trade or two along the way.

Will Brian Cashman’s plan for 2013 come into focus earlier this off season?

Instant replay will likely be the most spirited issue discussed at the meetings, especially coming on the heels of a postseason fraught with missed calls and controversial officiating. Until recently, baseball’s hierarchy had been resistant to expanding replay, but discussions this week could very well get the ball rolling on some gradual, and maybe even substantial, changes.

An agenda for the meetings isn’t announced publicly, so, aside from replay, just about anything else could come up. Should the GMs find themselves grasping for topics, below are a few suggestions.

Fine Tune the Rule Book

Not only was the quality of umpiring exposed in October, but so too were vague inconsistencies in the rule book, particularly pertaining to contact on the base paths and the infield fly. Both issues were also prominently and controversially on display during the postseason, so, at the very least, a re-examination of those rules seems to be in order.

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(The following was originally published at SB*Nation’s Pinstriped Bible)

Haren is no stranger to the Yankee Stadium mound, but will he be wearing pinstripes the next time he climbs upon it? (Photo: Getty Images)

Eyewitnesses can sometimes be the most unreliable. And, in the era of social media, the least trustworthy sources for trades are often the players involved. Such was the case last night, when Carlos Marmol tipped off a reporter in his native Dominican Republic that he had been traded to the Angels for Dan Haren. However, the Cubs eventually backed away from the deal, and the Angels wound up buying out the final year of Haren’s contract instead.

Why did the Cubs walk away from the swap? If they went so far as to inquire if Marmol would waive his no trade clause, there must have been some interest. The trade would have allowed Chicago to swap their erratic closer, whose hold on that job is tenuous at best, for a starting pitcher, one who may not only be poised for a bounce back season, but could also benefit from being traded to the NL Central. What’s more, if Haren did rebound, he would have made a much more attractive trading chip at the deadline next season.

Perhaps the approximately $6 million difference between both players’ contracts was enough to scare the Cubs away? Or, maybe team President Theo Epstein and GM Jed Hoyer were simultaneously working on a related deal to immediately flip the starter, but it fell through? Whatever the reason, the Cubs’ late withdrawal left Angels’ GM Jerry Dipoto with a tough decision: either pick up Haren’s $15.5 million option or buy him out for $3.5 million. With Los Angeles likely to make a big play to retain free agent Zach Greinke, Dipoto opted for the latter.

As of midnight, Dan Haren became a free agent, essentially rejected by two teams. Now, it’s up to the rest of baseball to determine his value. Undoubtedly, Haren will be pitching somewhere next season, but chances are he will have to take a pillow contract, a one-year deal that allows him to rebuild his value before hitting the free agent market the following season. On such terms, Haren should have plenty of suitors.

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No one ever doubted Pascual Perez’ talent.  At times, he even seemed destined for stardom. Unfortunately, he just kept getting lost along the way.

On Thursday, Perez was the victim of a robbery that escalated to murder. He was reportedly killed by burglars lured to his home by the fame he cultivated many years ago while pitching in the majors leagues.  During his time in uniform, Perez never seemed comfortable dealing with the expectations of his notoriety. In death, he was betrayed by it once again.

Born in San Cristobal, on the Caribbean coast of the Dominican Republic, Perez was like a fish out of water in the United States. Signed off the island by the Pittsburgh Pirates at the tender age of 19, the gawky right hander didn’t have much success in the minor leagues. However, despite struggling through parts of seven seasons in the Pirates’ farm system and two brief stints in the majors, there were flashes of brilliance, perhaps none more prominent than when Perez out pitched Fernando Valenzuela in the championship game of the Caribbean World Series. During this period, Perez came close to quitting on several occasions, but instead he persevered. The reward was a ticket to Atlanta.

Since winning the N.L. West in 1969, the Braves were a mediocre team for most of the next decade. Then, in 1982, led by new manager Joe Torre, Atlanta turned the tide, winning a then record 13 straight games to start the year. The season would ebb and flow from that point, but on June 30, still in first place by three games, the Braves pulled off a relatively anonymous deal when they sent Larry McWilliams to the Pirates for Perez. Although news of the trade was reported briefly in the section of the newspaper reserved for footnotes, Perez would soon become fodder for headlines.

When the Braves recalled Perez from Richmond on July 27, they were not looking for a savior, just another arm to help out during what was beginning to look like a victory lap. Atlanta held a comfortable seven game lead in the West when Perez made his debut with the team, but he still managed to make an impression. An effective appearance in relief soon led to a job in the starting rotation, and before he knew it, his major league career was reborn.

When I get lost, I been in Atlanta for four days. I rent a car and get my driving permit that morning, and I leave for the stadium very early, but I forget where to make a turn right.” – Pascual Perez, quoted by SI, May 23, 1983

Perez went 0-2 in his first four starts with the Braves, but his 3.03 ERA kept him in the rotation. However, despite his contribution, the Braves went into a free fall, losing 19 of 21 games to fall four back of the Dodgers. So, on August 19, with the team in jeopardy of falling out of a race they once led handily, the Braves turned to Perez for another solid outing. He was nowhere to be found. Earlier in the day, Perez, who was still learning his new surroundings, received his driver’s license and decided to rent a car instead of take a cab to the ballpark. He missed a turn. And then another. Finally, he ran out of gas. What should have been a leisurely afternoon drive to the stadium had become an ordeal.

A promotional poster “commemorating” Perez’ misadventure on the Atlanta freeway.

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After spending most of the postseason with their backs to the wall, the Giants finally took it easy on all the hearts left back in San Francisco by sweeping the Detroit Tigers in the World Series.

The Giants’ whitewash was the 21st World Series sweep and third in franchise history. In 1954, the Giants surprised the Cleveland Indians, who had won 111 games in the regular season, by shutting them out in the Fall Classic, while in 1922, John McGraw doubled down on bragging rights in the city by punctuating a second consecutive World Series victory over the Yankees with a sweep.

World Series Sweeps, by Franchise
 
Source: Baseball-reference.com

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(The following was originally published at SB*Nation’s Pinstriped Bible)

Don’t tell Pablo Sandoval HRs are less plentiful in the postseason.  (Photo: Reuters)

Home runs are fine and dandy during the regular season. However, in October, small ball reigns supreme because of the elite-level starting pitching that offenses face on a daily basis. That pearl of baseball wisdom has become accepted as fact throughout the game, but is true? Ironically, you can probably count Justin Verlander among the skeptics. In four outings, the reigning A.L. Cy Young winner has allowed four homers that have not only accounted for five of the seven runs he has surrendered this postseason, but also added to his career total of 11 long balls allowed in just over 70 October innings.

There is usually an exception to every rule, so Verlander’s generosity with regard to allowing homeruns doesn’t mean power trumps small ball in the postseason. However, the aggregate data during the LDS era suggests the growing conventional emphasis on manufacturing runs in October is greatly exaggerated. Since 1995, 35.5% of runs during the regular season have come via the long ball, compared to 39.1% in the postseason. On a per season basis during that time frame, all but four years have featured a higher rate of runs scoring on a homer in October, including several approaching and surpassing double-digit percentages increases.  In other words, home runs have proven to be an even more important weapon during the postseason.

Historical Rate of Runs Scored Via the Home Run, Regular and Postseason since 1995

Source: Baseball-reference.com

Although home runs have historically been more prominent in the postseason, this year has been an exception. The nearly five percentage point decrease in runs scored via the home run in October represents the second largest decline since 1995. Also worth noting is the two teams that advanced to the World Series recorded HR run scoring rates below the overall average. Meanwhile, the three teams with the highest rates (Nationals, Yankees and Braves) managed only five combined victories in the postseason. So, for this season at least, employing small has proven more beneficial than waiting for the long ball.

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Justin Verlander may be the best pitcher of his generation, but to this point in his career, he has struggled in the Fall Classic. In three World Series starts (two in 2006 and one in 2012), the hard throwing right hander has lost all three times, while posting an ERA of 7.20, the fifth highest mark among the 174 pitchers with at least as many starting appearances and more than twice the 3.23 rate of all World Series starters.

Highest World Series ERA (minimum 3 starts), Since 1901

Note: Does not include relief appearances.
Source: Baseball-reference.com

Justin Verlander isn’t just any pitcher. As the reigning Cy Young award winner, the Tigers’ ace belongs to a select fraternity of only 40 award winners to appear in the World Series (including Frank Viola and Pat Hentgen, who pitched in the Fall Classic before winning the Cy Young). Among that group, only Dwight Gooden and Don Newcombe pitched to a higher ERA in baseball’s championship series. Including only those starts taken in the year of or after each pitcher’s first Cy Young award, Verlander’s disastrous outing in last night’s game 1 places him behind only Newcombe, who allowed 11 runs in 4 2/3 innings after being crowned baseball’s best pitcher in 1956.

World Series ERAs by Cy Young Winners (Starters)

Note: Does not include relief appearances and starts made by the pitcher in seasons before winning the Cy Young award. Included are starts in the same season as the pitcher’s first Cy Young.
Source: Baseball-reference.com

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Not even the rain could dampen the Giants’ comeback spirit. (Photo: Getty Images)

Move over St. Louis. The cardiac kids of the postseason now reside in San Francisco.

Entering last night’s sudden death NLCS showdown, the Cardinals were riding a six game winning streak in winner-take-all postseason match-ups dating back to last October. Meanwhile, the Giants, who have been on life support for most of the postseason, were busy building their own reputation for being at their best in a must-win situation. Something had to give. It was the Cardinals.

Not only did the Giants match the Cardinals’ streak of six straight victories with their backs against the wall, but they also became only the second team in postseason history to stare down the barrel of elimination six times and live to tell about it. In fact, only five other teams managed at least four stays of elimination in the same postseason, including last year’s World Series champion Cardinals. Granted, the increased number of October series has provided more opportunities for comebacks, but the Giants never say die march to the Fall Classic stands out as one of the most improbable pennant drives in postseason history.

Teams With 4 or More Elimination Game Wins in the Postseason, Since 1901

Source: baseball-reference.com

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