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vs. Marc Rzepczynski PA BA OBP SLG HR RBI
Derek Jeter SS 5 0.600 0.600 1.200 1 1
Nick Swisher RF 5 0.750 0.600 1.500 1 2
Mark Teixeira 1B 5 0.200 0.200 0.200 0 1
Robinson Cano 2B 5 0.400 0.400 1.200 1 1
Marcus Thames DH 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Jorge Posada C 2 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Austin Kearns LF 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Curtis Granderson CF 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Eduardo Nunez 3B 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Total 22 0.429 0.409 0.905 3 5
             
vs. Dustin Moseley PA BA OBP SLG HR RBI
Travis Snider LF 3 0.667 0.667 1.667 1 2
Yunel Escobar SS 4 0.250 0.250 0.250 0 0
Jose Bautista RF 5 0.000 0.200 0.000 0 0
Vernon Wells CF 7 0.429 0.429 0.857 1 2
Adam Lind DH 4 0.250 0.250 0.500 0 0
Aaron Hill 2B 6 0.600 0.667 0.600 0 0
Lyle Overbay 1B 5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
John Buck C 3 0.667 0.667 1.000 0 2
Edwin Encarnacion 3B 4 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Total 41 0.308 0.317 0.513 2 6

 

Yankees vs. Blue Jays    
Season: 2010 Season: 2009 Season: 2008 All-Time
TOR: 6-4 NYY: 12-6 TIED: 9-9 NYY: 263-211

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  Last 10 Last 20 Last 30
Yankees 6-4 11-9 16-14
Blue Jays 5-5 11-9 17-13

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  Road vs. LHP
Yankees 35-26 26-17
  Home vs. RHP
Blue Jays 32-24 54-42

Johnny Damon will not be returning to Fenway Park. It turns out he loves Detroit too much to leave.

Johnny Damon will not be a savior in Boston. The Tigers’ DH/left fielder turned down a chance to return to the Red Sox because he “loves Detroit”.

Before the Tigers’ scheduled game against the Royals, Damon told a crowd of assembled reporters that he was spurning the Red Sox attempts to reacquire because of his affection for the Motor City. Then again, most reports had Damon willing to accept a trade to the Yankees or Rays, so it doesn’t really take a genius to read between the lines. In fact, the meaning is so easy to infer that even a caveman could do it: the prodigal idiot of Red Sox Nation is still unhappy with the way he was treated by both the Red Sox organization and what he likely feels are its ungrateful fans.

Ever since he left Boston to join the Yankees after the 2005 season, Damon has nursed an open wound pertaining to the stance that the Red Sox took toward him during contract negotiations. Compounding those hard feelings was the hostile reception Damon frequently received when returning to Fenway, an emotion that was probably rekindled after receiving a standing ovation in his return to Yankee Stadium. If Damon thought Yankees’ fans were still fond of him then, just wait until the next time he returns.

Although a very outgoing personality, Damon has also proven to be a very sensitive person. He gives 100% when on the field and goes above and beyond when interacting with fans, so you can see why he would bristle at the negative reception he encounters by virtue of the perception that he is a hired gun. Damon has been the baseball equivalent of a nomad, always searching for a home, so it shouldn’t come as surprise that he decided not to return to a place where he felt he wasn’t wanted.

Another lesson to be learned from Damon’s decision is one that won’t go down too easy in Red Sox Nation. More than any group of fans, Red Sox’ rooters throw their support behind management when there is a confrontation with a particular player. It’s almost as if they deem playing in Red Sox Nation to be an undeniable privilege that only a heretic would refuse. From the days of Carlton Fisk through Wade Boggs and Roger Clemens all the way through Pedro Marinez, Damon and Manny Ramirez, a litany of Red Sox stars have left Boston amid acrimony and resentment from the fans. Well, Red Sox Nation was forced to pay the price this time around. Their negative reaction was as much a reason as any that Damon decided to stay with the Tigers. You see, he very well may love Detroit, but it’s also pretty clear that he has no love for Boston.

Over the past few days, Deadspin and AP have published confidential financial documents pertaining to the operations of the Pittsburg Pirates, Tampa Bay Rays, Florida Marlins, Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels. The leaked information, which has been verified by several teams, has provoked an angry response from several of the violated parties as well as justification for some of the underlying revelations from others.

The Pirates had the strongest reaction to the leaked information, which isn’t surprising because the financial records reveal that the organization has been turning a tidy profit while receiving monumental sums of revenue sharing, not to mention languishing in last place in the weak NL Central.

In addition to revealing the operating (EBITDA) and net (real profit) incomes of all five teams, the leaked documents also provided various details about several streams of revenue, including concessions, broadcast rights, post season gate receipts and revenue sharing, while offering a glimpse into some less publicized expenses like scouting and player development. Maury Brown’s Biz of Baseball blog provides a detailed breakdown of these items, but the bottom line is clear: smaller market teams have been highly profitable thanks in large part to generous revenue sharing payouts.

Of course, we already knew that. For years, Forbes has been conducting an annual analysis of baseball’s finances, so anyone familiar with that study probably didn’t even bat an eye at the findings emanating from the leaked financials. If anything, the published documents reveal that the Forbes figures overstate the profitability of smaller market teams, which you’d think would make teams like the Pirates happy. Then again, with some teams refusing to admit to any profit at all, you can see why a verifiable contradiction would be of concern.

Operating Income Comparison

Year Team Leaked Financials Forbes.com
2008 Pirates  $    14,408,249.00  $   16,000,000.00
2007 Pirates  $    16,197,554.00  $   18,000,000.00
2009 Angels  $    11,926,000.00  $   12,000,000.00
2008 Angels  $    11,254,000.00  $   10,000,000.00
2009 Marlins  $    12,677,000.00  $   46,000,000.00
2008 Marlins  $    39,214,000.00  $   44,000,000.00
2008 Rays  $    14,202,206.00  $   29,000,000.00
2007 Rays  $    21,687,569.00  $   30,000,000.00
2008 Mariners  $     (7,672,000.00)  $    4,000,000.00
2007 Mariners  $    13,765,000.00  $   10,000,000.00

Source: BizofBaseball.com and Forbes.com

Even with leaked financials in hand, any conclusions drawn from the figures still have to be taken with a grain of salt. As private companies, most baseball teams are not beholden to the same rigorous accounting principles that are required of public companies (many of which still find a way to circumvent various financial reporting regulations). Besides, even when following generally accepted accounting principles, most companies can do magic with their financial reporting. As Paul Beeston once famously said while serving as vice president of business operations for the Blue Jays, “Anyone who quotes profits of a baseball club is missing the point. Under generally accepted accounting principles, I can turn a $4 million profit into a $2 million loss, and I can get every national accounting firm to agree with me.”

Anyone who quotes profits of a baseball club is missing the point. Under generally accepted accounting principles, I can turn a $4 million profit into a $2 million loss, and I can get every national accounting firm to agree with me.” Then Blue Jays Vice President of Business Operations Paul Beeston, quoted in chapter 4 of The Business of Sports

So, why is everyone making such a big deal about the leaked financials? For starters, the documents are meant to be confidential, so any breach is not only criminal, but also fosters a level of distrust between all the parties who may be privy to it (the teams, the league and  the players’ association). With the current collective bargaining agreement set to expire in December 2011, any grounds for mistrust could make negotiations even more contentious, especially when you consider the looming drug testing-related regulations that the owners are likely to request. After all, the MLBPA already has a reason to distrust ownership after the revelation of several names from what was supposed to be a confidential list of positive drug tests.

The fact of the matter is major league baseball, both as a league and on an individual team basis, is a hugely profitable business. The extent of those profits not only has a bearing on each team’s financial health, but also on the negotiating power of the MLBPA. One of the reasons the baseball union has become so strong is because it fully understands the value of the services its players provide. As much as owners have pleaded poverty of the years, you can’t blame the players for having a deep level of mistrust when it comes to financial facts and figures. That’s exactly why the MLBPA has shunned any attempts at a salary cap or other system that would be based on an unrealistic level of trust between with team owners. In the NFL, the players have finally realized this hard lesson (how can you tie your compensation to league revenue when you can trust the reported figures), which could send that sport careening toward a work stoppage.

Without knowing the source of the leak, it wouldn’t surprise me if the motive behind it was related to the upcoming negotiations for a new CBA. Just in case there was any doubt that baseball is doing very, very well, we know have five perfect examples to dispel any claims of financial duress. And that is what has teams like the Pirates so up in arms. Part of their smokescreen has been dissipated, and any chance at forming a hard-line coalition may have been severely weakened. The bell for round one in the upcoming CBA battle has officially been rung.

Ivan Nova’s introduction to life as a starter in the major leagues was somewhat rude, but the young right hander shrugged off the early cold shoulder and gave a performance that suggested he might be in for many happy returns.

For the second time this season, Jose Bautista beat the Yankees with a pair of homeruns (Photo: MLB).

While at Scranton, one of the keys to Nova’s success had been his ability to pound the zone with a plus fastball. At the start of last night’s outing, he seemed determined to carry over that approach, but after two mid-90s fastballs were turned into a single and double, Nova may have had second thoughts. Seemingly scared off the fastball and out of the zone, Nova walked Jose Bautista to load the bases, setting the stage for what could have been a disastrous major league debut. Instead, Nova returned to what got him to the big leagues and began firing fastballs touching 97mph. Despite sitting dead red on a 2-0 heater, Vernon Wells was overpowered and lofted a lazy fly ball to left. Fred Lewis decided to tag on the play, giving Brett Gardner an opportunity to show off his very own impressive heater. Gardner’s throw easily beat Lewis to the plate and gave Nova the breathing room he needed to complete the escape, which he did by striking out Adam Lind.

After his eventful first inning, Nova not only settled down, but seemed to get stronger with each inning. Over his final 4 1/3 innings, Nova surrendered only four hits, including two infield singles. In fact, one of those infield singles was actually an out, but first base umpire Mark Wegner incorrectly ruled that Eduardo Nunez’ throw pulled Mark Teixeira’s foot off the bag on Yunel Escobar’s third inning single. Unfortunately for Nova, Wegner’s mistake preceded one of his own, as Jose Bautista hammered a hanging curveball deep into the left field seats.

Despite only throwing 73 pitches, Nova was finally lifted with one out in the sixth, although the reason for his early exit had nothing to do with his losing effectiveness. Instead, Joe Girardi was likely trying to have his young right hander leave the game on a positive note, especially after one of his fastballs sailed over the head of Bautista, prompting an angry response from the Jay’s right fielder and a minor benches clearing incident. Impressively, Nova responded to the adversity by retiring Bautista on a fly ball to center, but after Wells reached on an infield single, Girardi opted to call it a night. Although it would have been interesting to see how Nova responded in the entire inning, you can’t blame Girardi for wanting to avoid having the rookie spoil his outing, especially with the way the Yankees’ bullpen has been performing of late.

When Nova departed the game, the score was tied 2-2, ensuring he would not have a chance at his first big league victory. However, with the way Toronto starter Brandon Morrow was throwing, Nova was lucky that he didn’t leave on the hook for a loss. In his six innings, Morrow struck out 12 batters, but the Yankees were able to score single runs in his first and last frames thanks to RBI doubles by Robinson Cano and Jorge Posada. Both times, the runners who scored reached base on a walk, but otherwise, Morrow was in command thanks to an overpowering fastball and devastating curveball/slider combo. Of course, it should also be mentioned that the Yankees’ bottom of the order (Nunez, Pena and Cervelli) as well as a rather large strike zone by Jerry Meals probably both played a role in Morrow’s dominant performance. Regardless, the emerging right hander has now struck out 36 Yankees in 24 1/3 innings this season.

With both starters out of the game relatively early, the contest became a battle of the bullpens, a common theme in a season series that has now featured four one-run games (out of 10 total). This time around, the Blue Jays bullpen got the better of the showdown, posting three shutout innings to close out the game. Meanwhile, the Yankees’ relievers also performed well, but another mistake to Bautista proved to be the difference in the game. With one out in the bottom of the eighth, Francisco Cervelli sat on the outside corner, but David Robertson’s fastball tailed back over the middle of the plate before being deposited over the left field wall. As soon as the ball left the bat, Bautista took a moment to glare at Robertson and then took several more to make his way around the bases. With retribution apparently on his mind, or perhaps jubilation over hitting his 40th round tripper, Bautista then pumped his fist upon reaching home plate, a gesture that very well might be revisited at some point over the two teams’ final eight games.

Putting aside the loss for a moment, Ivan Nova’s performance was certainly encouraging. His fastball command was excellent (70% for strikes) and his velocity was both premium (topped out at 98) and enduring (his last fastball was 95). Nova also featured a sharp moving hard change that seems as if it will be particularly effective against lefties. One area of concern, however, was the breaking ball. Not only did his curveball lack late bite, but he also struggled to throw it for strikes. As impressive as his fastball was, Nova is going to need another pitch, especially against right handed batters who are less likely to be fooled by the hard changeup. According to scouting reports, Nova does have a good curve (and is also working on a slider), but last night at least, he was really just a two pitch pitcher.

The Yankees are in a pennant race, so there really isn’t room for moral victories. It’s great that Nova pitched well, but the Yankees can’t afford to lose games while learning lessons about their 40-man roster. What’s more, the initial plan is to push everyone back a day, so even if Nova pitches well, he won’t be replacing the weak links in the Yankees starting rotation. Of course, if the Yankees keep trotting out a lineup with a bottom third as weak as last night’s batting order, it may not matter who is starting.

Ivan Nova’s Pitch Breakdown

  Avg. Speed Max Speed Count Strikes Percentage
Changeup 86.91 87.3 8 5 62.5%
Curve 82.4 86.3 18 6 33.3%
Fastball 94.4 97.5 47 33 70.2%

 

Inning Pitches Strikes Percentage
1 16 7 43.8%
2 13 9 69.2%
3 18 10 55.6%
4 10 6 60.0%
5 8 7 87.5%
6 8 5 62.5%
Total 73 44 60.3%

Source: www.brooksbaseball.net

vs. Brandon Morrow PA BA OBP SLG HR RBI
Brett Gardner LF 7 0.429 0.429 1.143 1 2
Nick Swisher RF 13 0.250 0.308 0.500 1 2
Mark Teixeira 1B 16 0.308 0.375 0.615 1 4
Robinson Cano 2B 18 0.267 0.389 0.333 0 0
Jorge Posada DH 14 0.500 0.643 0.600 0 0
Curtis Granderson CF 10 0.111 0.200 0.111 0 0
Eduardo Nunez SS 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Ramiro Pena 3B 3 0.667 0.667 0.667 0 1
Francisco Cervelli C 3 0.000 0.333 0.000 0 0
Total 84 0.310 0.393 0.507 3 9
             
vs. Ivan Nova PA BA OBP SLG HR RBI
Fred Lewis LF 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Yunel Escobar SS 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Jose Bautista RF 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Vernon Wells CF 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Adam Lind DH 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Aaron Hill 2B 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Lyle Overbay 1B 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Edwin Encarnacion 3B 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Jose Molina C 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0
Total 0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0 0

 

Yankees vs. Blue Jays    
Season: 2010 Season: 2009 Season: 2008 All-Time
TOR: 5-4 NYY: 12-6 TIED: 9-9 NYY: 263-210

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  Last 10 Last 20 Last 30
Yankees 6-4 11-9 17-13
Blue Jays 5-5 10-10 17-13

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  Road vs. RHP
Yankees 35-25 51-30
  Home vs. RHP
Blue Jays 31-24 53-42

Could Johnny Damon come back to haunt the Yankees as a member of the Red Sox?

According to Several sources, the Boston Red Sox have claimed Johnny Damon on waivers. It remains to be seen whether the Red Sox and Tigers can work out a deal, or if Detroit will simply let Damon go in a salary dump, but if the prodigal son of Red Sox Nation does return to Boston, the final two weekends of the season will be that much more interesting.

Of course, Damon must also waive his no trade clause in order to make the reunion possible, and based on some of his comments, that might not be a given. Apparently, Damon has grown tired of being a baseball nomad (which, incidentally, is the backwards spelling of his last name).

I had a great time playing there. But I think once it was apparent that I wasn’t a necessity to re-sign there, it started to get ugly. And that’s why I’ve got to think long and hard. I have to think if they do have a strong chance to make the playoffs with the guys beat up there. I have to think long and hard if I’m going to once again be probably one of the nicest guys in baseball, but be once again the most hated guy in baseball. That’s what it boils down. You guys see how I get booed in every ballpark already.” – Johnny Damon, as quoted on ESPN.com

One place Johnny Damon wasn’t booed this season was at Yankees Stadium. During last week’s return to the Bronx, Damon was greeted with a standing ovation in his first at bat. If Damon does wind up back in Boston, however, that reception could be a lot different during the weekend of September 24 when the Red Sox make their final trip to the Bronx.

As much as Yankees fans would like to avoid seeing Damon return to the Stadium with Boston written across his chest, no one has more to lose from the reunion than GM Brian Cashman. During last week’s series against the Tigers, Damon commented about how the difference between the two rivals has been the Yankees always pay their own players, before noting that he was the one exception. Well, if traded to Boston, Damon would have the perfect opportunity to make Cashman regret that decision.

After yesterday’s 9-5 victory over the Mariners, the Yankees surrendered to the inevitable and placed Alex Rodriguez on the 15-day disabled list. To take Arod’s place on the roster, the Yankees also promoted 23-year old right hander Ivan Nova, who was 12-3 with a 2.86 ERA at triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Ivan Nova will make his first major league start on Monday, but does that spell the beginning of the end for someone else?

Considering the plight of the Yankees’ starting rotation, Nova’s promotion has been long overdue. However, at least initially, it doesn’t look as if the Yankees have any concrete plans for their talented young right hander. Instead, the team seems prepared to have Nova make his first major league start against the Blue Jays on Monday, and then play it by ear.

If Nova does not pitch well against Toronto, he’ll likely be sent back down to Scranton until at least the September 1 call-up date. If he has anything resembling a competent outing, however, he could be in the rotation for the foreseeable future. The next question, of course, is whom then would he replace?

In his initial postgame comments, Joe Girardi was very non-committal about his plans for both Nova and the rotation as a whole. According to the Yankees’ manager, Nova is in, but nobody is out. Unless the Yankees go with a six man rotation, which is highly unlikely, something has to give. Below are the Yankees’ options, which are curiously many for a team with the best record in baseball.

Option 1: Nova As Andy’s New Caddy

When Andy Pettitte first went on the disabled list, there was initial speculation that the Yankees would turn toward Nova. Instead, Girardi opted for a reprise of last year’s failed experiment by naming Sergio Mitre as the interim replacement. That experiment lasted only one start this time around, however, as Dustin Moseley assumed Mitre’s role immediately thereafter. In his five starts since then, Moseley has gone a respectable 3-2 with a 4.97 ERA, but has shown a propensity for giving up the long ball. Also, with the exception of one start against Toronto, in which he yielded five runs over 7 1/3 innings, Moseley has started against relatively weak offenses, which doesn’t portend well as the Yankees enter a prolonged stretch against stronger competition.

Because Moseley was scheduled to pitch on Monday, the decision to start Nova in his place seems like a straight up switch. The Yankees have gotten about as much as they could expect from Moseley, so making the move to Nova would be like quitting while ahead at one table to roll the dice at another. At 28, Moseley’s potential is pretty much limited to how he has performed to this point, so going with Nova would not only give them a higher ceiling of expectations, but also provide an early preview that could come in handy when constructing the 25-man roster during the offseason.

Option 2: Nova and the Hughes Rules

Although an exact limit has not been set (at least no publically), the specter of the “Hughes Rules” has hung around the Yankees all season. Otherwise, at 15-5 with a 3.90 ERA, Phil Hughes certainly would not be a candidate for removal from the rotation. However, Hughes also has 140 2/3 innings under his belt. If he was to make all of his starts down the stretch, Hughes would still have eight remaining, which at six innings per outing would amount to approximately 48 innings. The rumored innings limit has been in the range of 170, so unless Hughes is skipped at some point, he is more than likely going to shoot past that parameter.

Using Nova to take the place of Hughes would certainly accomplish the goal of reigning in his innings, but it wouldn’t be in the best interest of the team’s championship aspirations. Hughes has re-emerged as the Yankees second best starter, having rebounded from a midseason lull to go 4-2 with a 3.63 ERA over his last six outings. Quite frankly, the Yankees can ill afford to lose Hughes’ production. At this point, the team has no choice but to leave Hughes in the rotation, so it isn’t likely that the Yankees will be swapping one young right hander for another.

Option 3: Nova Takes Over for Vazquez

After a rough first six weeks, Javier Vazquez turned his season around, going 8-4 with a 3.11 ERA in 14 games from May 12 to July 26. More recently, however, Vazquez’ season has taken another turn, but this time for the worse. Culminating in yesterday’s debacle against the Mariners, Vazquez has gone 0-2 over his last five starts, including an ERA of 7.43 in only 23 innings. Even more concerning, Vazquez has surrendered eight home runs and been hit to the tune of a 1.101 OPS during that span.

Adding injury to insult, Vazquez has also complained about a dead arm that has robbed him of his velocity. Not only has he expressed concern between starts, but while on the mound, he has looked reticent to attack the strike zone. If anyone could use a break, Vazquez seems to be the ideal candidate. Also, it is important to remember that while with the Yankees in 2004, Vazquez allegedly pitched down the stretch with a sore shoulder. In 10 starts over the final two months of that season, Vazquez went 2-4 with a 6.75 ERA. If this is an example of history repeating itself, the Yankees would be wise to heed the warning.

Although you can understand the Yankees desire to see how Nova performs on Monday before making a permanent decision, the team can not afford to be indecisive. For at least the next two games, the Yankees inability to be firm will force them to play with a depleted bench, a problem exacerbated by the much too frequent presence of Francisco Cervelli and now Eduardo Nunez/Ramiro Pena in the lineup.  Regardless of how well Nova does on Monday, the Yankees would be wise to DL Javier Vazquez and promote a bat (maybe Jesus Montero?). Not only would it provide Nova with the comfort of a three-start audition, but it might give Vazquez the rest needed to re-establish himself over the final month of the season. The worst decision the Yankees could make is to allow Monday’s start to determine the rotation’s fate. The playoffs are not a given, so it’s time for a more proactive response to the lingering problems that threaten another championship run.

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